1 – If they stand pat at #15, the Houston Texans will not draft a defensive end.
The closer the draft gets, the more I’m convinced of this. Brian Orakpo will be off the board. Everette Brown, despite issues about his height (expected to measure at 6-3, ended up 6-1) will be off the board. Aaron Maybin is too risky, in my opinion. Unless Robert Ayers or Larry English (surprisingly weighed in at the Combine at 274 pounds) blows up to the point where the team thinks they’re worth what would right now seem like a reach at #15, I think the Texans are more likely to address their OLB situation. I see a lot of people saying that the release of Anthony Weaver is an even stronger indication that we’ll take a DE with the #15 pick – I don’t see it that way. More on that subject in an upcoming post.
2 – The Detroit Lions will not take a quarterback at #1.
I think the Era of Stupid is over in Detroit. GM Matt Millen is obviously gone, and they landed former Titans defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz as their new head coach. The Lions need help everywhere, and I really feel like Schwartz shares the popular view (mine as well) that you build teams from front to back.
3 – USC LB Rey Maualuga will fall out of the top 15.
Questions about his coverage abilities and quiet rumblings of character issues will eventually overtake the hardnosed, nasty on-field reputation he has. His hamstring issue at the Combine won’t have anything to do with him falling out of the top 15, those things happen. He’ll slide, and make someone very happy when he falls in their lap. As I write this – I’ve just found this article, which seems to agree that he’ll slide. Maybe that thought is more widely held than I realized.
4 – Chris Wells will be the only RB picked in the first round.
It was a slowish crop this year, and I just don’t think there are a lot of game-changers at the top of the draft… similar to the WR position last year. Wells is just too fast for his size to not go in the first. If there were teams in the top 15 with huge RB needs, he’d go a lot higher than he’ll end up. I like Knowshon Moreno, but he kind of laid an egg with his 40-yard dash time at the Combine, and I think he’ll go early 2nd.
5 – The Dallas Cowboys will trade into the first round.
Simply because they operate under a Big Top run by the biggest bozo in the history of the circus – Jerry Jones. His poor puppet Wade Phillips (who I like and respect) will sit in the draft room with nothing to do but doodle, helplessly watching Jerry wheel and deal his way up to take someone who will do nothing… NOTHING to help the fact that the Dallas Cowboys are a complete and total disaster and in their current incarnation – literally an embarrassment to the NFL.
Hey, Jerry – Michael Vick gets out in July. Instruct your pal Roger Goodell not to drop an NFL suspension on him on top of his prison term. I’m pretty sure you’d let him torture and electrocute all of your pets in exchange for selling one more PSL.
So there you go. Some of those are going out on a limb, some of them – not so much. Hey, I’m putting myself out there. Now tell me where you think I’m wrong.