Events once again conspired to not allow a fantasy football podcast this week, so I threw a blog version together. For the record – Matt and I have done pretty well. You should stop ignoring us! Anyway, Matt helps me out with some sleeper selections after I drop about 1000 words of game-by-game sit/start advice on you:
BUFFALO AT ARIZONA
START QB Trent Edwards: I’m not gung-ho about this one. Edwards had a potential point-fest last week at St. Louis, but came away with only one TD. But hey, it’s Arizona. You know they’re not going to play defense. I know Edwards is not Brett Favre, but Favre did light the Cardinals up for SIX TDs last week.
TENNESSEE AT BALTIMORE
SIT RB LenDale White: 1. LenWhale has been limited in practice this week. 2. Chris Johnson is going to get more of the carries as the season wears on. 3. We all know Baltimore plays tough, physical defense at a constantly high level. Pittsburgh only managed 69 yards on the ground against the Ravens last week.
INDIANAPOLIS AT HOUSTON
SIT WR Kevin Walter: In fantasy football, when you see a guy have a game like Walter had last week, you think about picking him up. Me? I just can’t imagine that Andre Johnson continues to be a decoy for the likes of Walter and Owen Daniels, even though AJ has never put up huge numbers against the Colts.
KANSAS CITY AT CAROLINA
START Carolina’s Defense: The Panthers did well against an inferior young team at home last week, I see no reason why that will change against the Chiefs this week. Carolina’s not a good bet to score on defense, but they should hold KC to a very low point output Sunday.
CHARGERS AT DOLPHINS
START TE Anthony Fasano: Who knows if the Dolphins are who they were against the Patriots. I doubt it, but Fasano had great games in weeks 1 and 3, but did nothing in week 2. Despite that, he leads the Dolphins in receiving yardage (150), and is tied for the lead in receptions (11).
CHICAGO AT DETROIT
START WR Marty Booker: Brandon Lloyd has been ruled out for the game, making Booker and Rashied Davis the starters against The Eternal Suck. Even without an elite (or even top-notch) pass offense, I look for the Bears to have a big game in the air and on the ground. I mean – it’s the Lions. Start everyone!
ATLANTA AT GREEN BAY
SIT RB Michael Turner: I know! He’s one of the top fantasy backs this season, but through four games, the pattern is pretty clear. At home against two crappy teams – Turner is a fantasy player’s uh… fantasy. On the road against two pretty good teams – Turner has been a GHOST… so I’m going to assume that will continue. Crazy as it might be to some, I’m sitting Turner this week. Full disclosure – the Packers do have a terrible run defense… but I just have a hunch.
SEATTLE AT NEW YORK GIANTS
START RB Julius Jones: Three games in, Jones has had two big games. One against San Francisco, and one against St. Louis. I’m not buying into him just yet, but he’s done enough to get a start if you don’t have a surplus of great RBs on your roster.
WASHINGTON AT PHILADELPHIA
If Brian Westbrook is inactive, START RB Correll Buckhalter: I don’t know what to make of the Bears defense at this early stage of the season, but fantasy-wise, Buckhalter had a good game in Chicago last week. Westbrook is just too much of a deadly weapon in that offense for his replacement to be ignored.
TAMPA BAY AT DENVER
START WR Eddie Royal: Royal went bananas when Brandon Marshall was out of the lineup in week 1. When Marshall returned in week 2, Royal still managed a TD and a 2 point conversion catch. Then in week 3, Royal did next to nothing. Last week – 9 catches and 104 yards to lead the team. Conclusion – he’s had 3 good fantasy weeks and one bad one. Even against a good defense like Tampa Bay, I think Royal is worth a start as a 3rd WR.
CINCINNATI AT DALLAS
SIT WR Chad Johnson: I hate the Dallas Cowboys. Absolutely hate them. But I’m hoping someone gets a free shot on Chad Johnson. For all his bluster, showmanship, and endless babbling – Chad Johnson is an absolute SHELL of his former self. Blah blah blah, Chad. Run your mouth, change your name – what has it gotten you? Third on your horrible team in receptions, and third in receiving yardage. *YAWN* You and Terrell Owens need to go play in traffic.
NEW ENGLAND AT SAN FRANCISCO
SIT TE Vernon Davis: Coming out of college, this guy seemed like a prototypical fantasy football tight end. A combination of nagging injuries, bad quarterbacks and now a system that doesn’t create a lot of opportunity for tight ends has made his real world football and fantasy football career kind of a dud. I see no reason for that to change this week.
PITTSBURGH AT JACKSONVILLE
START Pittsburgh’s Defense: I’m not so sure that Pittsburgh will hold Jacksonville to a low point total, but Pittsburgh’s always a threat to score on defense, so unless you can pick up a waiver defense that has a great matchup, don’t be afraid to start the Steelers on the road.
MINNESOTA AT NEW ORLEANS
SIT WR Devery Henderson: This guy is the ultimate fantasy itch that demands to be scratched. He’s got big play potential, he plays in a pass-happy, potent offense, and the Saints are banged up at WR. Yet – he’s a sit. Henderson is a feast or famine type, and if you’re dying to start a WR off of the Saint’s bench, go with Robert Meachem – or if he’s somehow still available, Lance Moore.
WEEK 5 SLEEPER PICKS:
Chris: Kyle Orton – Not much of a sleeper considering the opponent, but for as infrequently as you could ever count on Orton, he’s got a good shot to do some damage against the Lions.
Matt: You stole mine! Umm… Jason Campbell. The Eagles’ defense got absolutely lit against Dallas, so they are certainly susceptible. These NFC East matchups are hard to predict, but Campbell’s not throwing picks right now and the offense looks good moving the ball.
Chris: Deuce McAllister – he doubled-up Reggie Bush in carries last week, and ended up with 20+ touches. I think he’ll find the endzone against a Viking defense that hasn’t quite gotten in gear as much as many expected.
Matt: Chester Taylor – AP is not 100% and the Vikings will likely fall behind kinda fast in this one, so the pass-catching Taylor will probably get more second-half burn than the Sooner.
Chris: Amani Toomer – with Plaxico Burress out for a game, Toomer figures to get a ton of looks. Plax is the team’s clear #1 WR, but a closer look reveals that Plax and Toomer have been targeted an almost identical amount of times.
Matt: Isaac Bruce – he’s hot, the Pats’ defense is as flawed as the offense, and Mike Martz and JT O’Sullivan both seem to want to go to Bruce early and often.